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As we delve into the current economic landscape of China in 2024, it becomes evident that the nation is at a pivotal juncture, navigating the complexities of an economic transition that seeks to balance traditional growth drivers with emerging forces. The shift is not merely a reaction to external pressures or internal challenges, but a deliberate strategy aimed at fostering high-quality development through technological innovation that nurtures new productive forces.
Reflecting on the past year, while challenges have increased globally and within its borders, China’s economy has demonstrated resilience, marking progress amidst adversity. Notably, the country has ascended to the 11th position in the global innovation index—a testament to its rapid enhancement of innovative capabilities, which places it among the fastest-growing economies in terms of innovation over the last decade. The strategic emerging industries have witnessed remarkable growth, with breakthroughs in fields such as integrated circuits, artificial intelligence, quantum communication, aerospace, and new energy vehicles. The digital economy continues to burgeon, and green development is starting to yield visible results. These advancements are not mere data points; they signify a robust transformation of traditional energy into new vigors, underscoring the efficacy of technological innovation as a catalyst for renewal and upgrade.
The analogy of economic development as a relentless relay race encapsulates the dynamics at play. With vigorous forces such as technological innovation leading the charge, the transfer and transformation of old and new driving forces unfold continuously, characterized by surges of change and breakthroughs. This historical journey illustrates a fundamental truth: as nations advance into the later stages of industrialization, the significance of traditional factors of production—namely land, labor, and capital—diminishes, making way for technology and innovation to take the helm. Technology, akin to a rising sun, emerges as the core engine of growth, propelling economies toward new horizons.

Today, we inhabit a unique, unprecedented phase of global technological innovation, where breakthroughs in artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and biotechnology are fostering novel industrial forms and business models. The significant global competitive landscape presents daunting challenges but also rare opportunities. To leverage these opportunities, it is essential to maintain a keen eye on the new wave of technological revolutions and industrial transformations, positioning technology innovation as the driving engine for robust shifts in momentum. This entails accelerating the development of emerging industries and revitalizing traditional sectors to enhance both the quality and efficiency of economic growth. Only through this comprehensive approach can China carve a distinct niche in the global market, hence affirming its proactive stance in economic evolution.
Moving forward, positioning technological innovation as a cornerstone of transformation is imperative. The transition of old to new energies is not a straightforward arithmetic exercise; it necessitates a deep understanding and appreciation of the existing productive forces. With traditional industries still accounting for more than 80% of China’s manufacturing sector, they form the bedrock upon which the nation's economy rests. Enhancements through smarter, digitalized, and sustainable practices are crucial to breathe new life into these sectors, thus unleashing new potentials. A prime illustration is found in the textile and apparel industry, where digital innovations permit the implementation of laser technologies for online, customized tailoring and fitting, streamlining the processes to cater to personalized demands efficiently. Such forward-thinking adaptations were evident in 2024 as China accelerated technical reforms in industrial fields, with steady advancements in raw material industries and equipment technology, alongside an intensified push towards digitalization and greening.
To cultivate and amplify new momentum, China continues to respond adeptly to the shifting global economic landscape. The profound modifications in international economic and trade structures necessitate a focus on emerging and future industries as pivotal areas of strategic investment and contestation. In 2024, the value added by high-tech manufacturing industries in China grew by 8.9% year-on-year—a clear indication of progress. The objective is to seize technological windows within pivotal sectors such as artificial intelligence, commercial aerospace, quantum technology, biomanufacturing, and renewable energy, thereby spurring disruptive innovations and fostering new industries, models, and driving forces. This strategy aims to build a more dominant and autonomous industrial base capable of competing for an influential position in international markets.
However, the metamorphosis from old to new momentum is inherently a gradual process, devoid of instant fixes. Respecting the natural rhythms of technological development and industrial growth remains essential. The focus should be on steady advancement, recognizing the potential pitfalls of impulsively chasing trends and generating market bubbles. The emphasis laid during the Central Economic Work Conference highlights the necessity of strategically balancing the cultivation of new momentum while revamping existing driving forces. It is vital to understand the dialectical relationship between stability and progression, as well as the synthesis of preservation and innovation. By anchoring efforts in technological innovation—the essential “bull’s-eye”—and further deepening reforms in the technological system, China is poised to ensure a smooth transition between old and new driving forces. This strategic amalgamation of technology and industrial innovation will pave the way towards achieving high-quality economic growth, showcasing a profound transformation of the economic narrative.
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